Game 2430
Bonus Break the Bank
Modeled return receipt
What the model averages back
Ticket price
$5.00
Modeled average back
$3.47
Modeled average shortfall
$1.53
A ticket is modeled to finish ahead about 1 in 6.68 times — paying more than its ticket price.
Long-run statewide estimate from public prize and sales data. It describes an average across many modeled tickets, not what one ticket, store, pack, or machine will return.
Top prizes left
5
of $100,000 each
Modeled average back
$3.47
On a $5.00 ticket, long-run statewide model
Estimates are statewide and educational. They do not identify a store, pack, or machine with winning tickets, and they are not purchase advice.
Ticket artwork is sourced from Texas Lottery public materials for identification only. scratchoddstexas is independent and is not endorsed, affiliated, approved, or sponsored by any state lottery.
Prizes remainingEvery prize tier, printed vs. claimed
| Prize | Printed | Claimed | Remaining | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100,000 | 10 | 5 | 5 | jackpot |
| $5,000 | 102 | 59 | 43 | profit |
| $500 | 2,537 | 1,379 | 1,158 | profit |
| $100 | 66,501 | 35,893 | 30,608 | profit |
| $50 | 336,757 | 180,932 | 155,825 | profit |
| $20 | 403,915 | 216,297 | 187,618 | profit |
| $15 | 807,963 | 431,348 | 376,615 | profit |
| $10 | 1,346,695 | 714,428 | 632,267 | profit |
| $5 | 1,750,840 | 904,425 | 846,415 | breakeven |
Official published valuesCopied from Texas Lottery public pages
Ticket price
$5
Top prize
$100,000
Pack size
75
Top prizes remaining
5
Official values are copied directly from Texas Lottery public game pages and prize counts. They do not imply real-time retailer or machine inventory.
Our modeled estimatesStatewide estimates built from public data
Modeled average back
$3.47
Modeled average shortfall
$1.53
Finish-ahead odds
1 in 6.68
Top prize odds
1 in 1,852,201
“Finish ahead” means the modeled payout is greater than the ticket price. It is different from official any-prize odds, which include prizes that only return the ticket cost.
Data sources and methodologyWhere these numbers come from
Sales source: Texas Open Data statewide net sales aggregate by game.
Sales coverage: 2025-01 to 2026-12 (101,409 source rows)
Confidence: Estimated from statewide Texas Open Data net sales aggregates divided by ticket price, then compared against published printed-ticket approximations. Sales data is unaudited, weekly-updated public data. This is a statewide model, not machine-level odds. Sales source: Texas Open Data net sales by fiscal month/year, game, and retailer. Imported sales coverage spans fiscal periods 2025-01 through 2026-12. Latest imported month-end date is 2026-07-31. Aggregate is based on 101,409 source rows. Sales data is public, unaudited, and normally published weekly.
Sales source: Texas Open Data net sales by fiscal month/year, game, and retailer. Imported sales coverage spans fiscal periods 2025-01 through 2026-12. Latest imported month-end date is 2026-07-31. Aggregate is based on 101,409 source rows. Sales data is public, unaudited, and normally published weekly.