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Game 2627

$5 Million Titanium Black

$100

Modeled return receipt

What the model averages back

Top 15% statewide

Ticket price

$100.00

Modeled average back

$80.32

Modeled average shortfall

$19.68

A ticket is modeled to finish ahead about 1 in 3.88 times — paying more than its ticket price.

Long-run statewide estimate from public prize and sales data. It describes an average across many modeled tickets, not what one ticket, store, pack, or machine will return.

26 of every 100 tickets win a prize (official overall odds — prizes include break-even). Official odds: 1 in 3.9.

Top prizes left

3

of $5,000,000 each

Modeled average back

$80.32

On a $100.00 ticket, long-run statewide model

Estimates are statewide and educational. They do not identify a store, pack, or machine with winning tickets, and they are not purchase advice.

Image of Front of $5 Million Titanium Black Ticket

Ticket artwork is sourced from Texas Lottery public materials for identification only. scratchoddstexas is independent and is not endorsed, affiliated, approved, or sponsored by any state lottery.

Prizes remainingEvery prize tier, printed vs. claimed
PrizePrintedClaimedRemainingClass
$5,000,000413jackpot
$50,00021318profit
$2,5002,8257492,076profit
$1,00037,1169,70527,411profit
$500374,050103,564270,486profit
$300187,03551,755135,280profit
$200280,46376,157204,306profit
$150561,184152,774408,410profit
Official published valuesCopied from Texas Lottery public pages

Ticket price

$100

Top prize

$5,000,000

Pack size

15

Top prizes remaining

3

Official values are copied directly from Texas Lottery public game pages and prize counts. They do not imply real-time retailer or machine inventory.

Our modeled estimatesStatewide estimates built from public data

Modeled average back

$80.32

Modeled average shortfall

$19.68

Finish-ahead odds

1 in 3.88

Top prize odds

1 in 1,357,272

“Finish ahead” means the modeled payout is greater than the ticket price. It is different from official any-prize odds, which include prizes that only return the ticket cost.

Data sources and methodologyWhere these numbers come from

Sales source: Texas Open Data statewide net sales aggregate by game.

Sales coverage: 2026-05 to 2026-11 (49,730 source rows)

Confidence: Estimated from statewide Texas Open Data net sales aggregates divided by ticket price, then compared against published printed-ticket approximations. Sales data is unaudited, weekly-updated public data. This is a statewide model, not machine-level odds. Sales source: Texas Open Data net sales by fiscal month/year, game, and retailer. Imported sales coverage spans fiscal periods 2026-05 through 2026-11. Latest imported month-end date is 2026-07-31. Aggregate is based on 49,730 source rows. Sales data is public, unaudited, and normally published weekly.

Sales source: Texas Open Data net sales by fiscal month/year, game, and retailer. Imported sales coverage spans fiscal periods 2026-05 through 2026-11. Latest imported month-end date is 2026-07-31. Aggregate is based on 49,730 source rows. Sales data is public, unaudited, and normally published weekly.

Full methodology →